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2024-12-13 22:55:28

CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025: investment opportunities may be easy first and then difficult. When CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025, it said that it is expected that the stock market and policy expectations will still be the short-term main drivers of the stock price of the sector. Combined with the low profit base and the possible window period, the investment opportunities in the industry may be easy first and then difficult: the short-term stock market will rise sharply or reproduce the general market, and the investment logic will return to long-term contradictions such as interest rate trends after emotional calm.The Economic Committee of the Colombian Congress rejected the tax reform proposed by the government to fund the 2025 budget.Summary of Hong Kong stock announcements, Small Vegetable Garden: It is planned to sell about 101 million shares worldwide, and it is expected to be listed on December 20. BOSS direct employment -W: The operating profit in the third quarter increased by 26.5%, and the monthly active users increased by 30%. BAIC Investment and Hyundai Motor injected US$ 1.095 billion into Beijing Hyundai in proportion. China Pacific Insurance: Pacific Life Insurance's premium income from January to November was 228.842 billion yuan. Year-on-year growth of 2.2% Hong Kong Science and Technology Exploration: In November, the total merchandise transaction volume of orders reached HK$ 687 million. SJM Holdings: It plans to acquire new quality digital technology in Hengqin New District, Zhuhai City for 546 million yuan. It plans to discount about 7.89% and place up to 800 million shares. Net raised HK$ 530 million. Kyle Digital Technology: It is planned to allocate a total of 212 million shares at a discount of about 15.38% to raise HK$ 210 million. Mongolian Mining: It is planned to spend US$ 20.5 million to acquire Mongolian copper exploration company and expand diversified mineral business. CGNPC New Energy: In November, the power generation was 1,360.8 GW, a year-on-year decrease of 18%.


Guotai Junan: The long-term incremental "option" brought by humanoid robots is expected to help the valuation of the rare earth sector rise. When looking forward to the strategy of the rare earth sector in 2025, Guotai Junan said that the market had expected that with the slowdown in the growth of core demand power such as new energy vehicles and wind power in the future, the demand for rare earth markets is under downward pressure. However, we expect that the rising consumption of magnetic materials for new energy vehicles and the warming demand for wind power are still expected to support the basic demand growth, and the demand for equipment renewal that began to land in 2024 is expected to become a new driving force for rare earth demand. On the supply side, an orderly pattern of domestic supply has been established, with many overseas planning increments but slow actual volume, and continuous supply-side constraints. In addition, the long-term incremental "options" brought by humanoid robots are also expected to help the valuation of the plate rise.Market News: Australia and Papua New Guinea sign bilateral security agreement.Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.


CITIC Jiantou: With the continuous promotion of new power system construction, the growth attribute of green power is expected to be highlighted. CITIC Jiantou Research Report said that recently, the National Energy Administration issued the "Guiding Opinions on Supporting the Innovation and Development of New Business Entities in the Power Field", proposing that new business entities should be exempted from applying for power business licenses and exploring the mechanism of establishing new energy direct connection to increase the supply of green power for enterprises. Specifically, the new business entities include distributed power supply, adjustable load, virtual power plant and smart microgrid. At present, the installed capacity of new energy in China is growing rapidly. Due to the restriction of power grid access capacity, the problem of power abandonment is on the rise. The mechanism of direct connection of new energy enterprises is helpful to improve the ability of local consumption of new energy, reduce the abandonment of wind and light, and promote the improvement of project yield. Generally speaking, with the continuous promotion of new power system construction, the profitability of new energy power generation projects is expected to improve marginally, and the growth attribute of green power is expected to be highlighted.Han Dongxun, leader of South Korea's ruling party: Yin Xiyue has no intention of stepping down early. On December 12, local time, Han Dongxun, leader of South Korea's ruling party, said that President Yin Xiyue confirmed that he had no intention of stepping down early. Han Dongxun said that people involved in the martial law incident, including the president, should be severely punished, and Yin Xiyue should immediately remove the right to operate state affairs, including the commander-in-chief of the army. In addition, Han Dongxun said that he would vote in favor of the impeachment case, and members of the ruling party should vote on the impeachment case according to their conscience.On the evening of December 10th, Sunac announced that two bonds, H6 Rongdi 01 and H0 Sunac 03, had taken the lead in voting on restructuring, and the other eight bonds still had two weeks to vote, and the voting results of the overall restructuring of 10 bonds would finally be ushered in on December 23rd. On November 27th, Sunac announced the second restructuring plan for domestic bonds, involving four restructuring options and a total of 10 bonds. Some analysts said that although the final result has not yet been settled, two bonds successfully passed the restructuring vote in a short period of time, indicating that some investors still have confidence in Sunac. Liu Shui, director of enterprise research at the China Central Finger Research Institute, told reporters that the recent stabilization of the real estate market and the improvement of creditors' confidence will be beneficial to the debt restructuring of real estate enterprises in danger. (21 Finance)

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